Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004886 0.005153 0.005428 0.005733 0.006062 0.006406 0.006795
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004411 0.004807 0.005233 0.005728 0.006288 0.006907 0.007644
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004087 0.004550 0.005065 0.005681 0.006404 0.007232 0.008260
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003804 0.004305 0.004874 0.005573 0.006416 0.007410 0.008686
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003582 0.004110 0.004721 0.005487 0.006432 0.007577 0.009089
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003444 0.004002 0.004657 0.005496 0.006556 0.007870 0.009657
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003219 0.003774 0.004437 0.005296 0.006400 0.007796 0.009735
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003123 0.003699 0.004396 0.005316 0.006519 0.008073 0.010288
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003095 0.003705 0.004454 0.005460 0.006803 0.008577 0.011178
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002976 0.003590 0.004353 0.005391 0.006797 0.008688 0.011519
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002887 0.003510 0.004292 0.005369 0.006852 0.008881 0.011984
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002791 0.003416 0.004208 0.005312 0.006853 0.008995 0.012337
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002753 0.003398 0.004226 0.005396 0.007056 0.009412 0.013183
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002683 0.003335 0.004181 0.005391 0.007132 0.009648 0.013767
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002604 0.003257 0.004112 0.005348 0.007150 0.009797 0.014218
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002509 0.003155 0.004006 0.005248 0.007080 0.009805 0.014438
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002427 0.003067 0.003918 0.005169 0.007034 0.009848 0.014714
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002381 0.003026 0.003892 0.005178 0.007121 0.010099 0.015360
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002271 0.002896 0.003737 0.004993 0.006904 0.009858 0.015134
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002234 0.002865 0.003720 0.005011 0.007000 0.010121 0.015813
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002236 0.002887 0.003780 0.005144 0.007279 0.010697 0.017103
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002176 0.002821 0.003711 0.005080 0.007243 0.010748 0.017423
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002133 0.002777 0.003672 0.005060 0.007277 0.010916 0.017976